Natural Risk Assessment and Management

Academic year
Subject Area
Language of Instruction
Mode of Delivery
ECTS Credits
2nd Cycle Studies - Mestrado

Recommended Prerequisites

Basic knowledge of geosciences and risk sciences.

Teaching Methods

Theoretical and theoretical/practical classes, laboratory and field work.
Presentation and group discussion with detailed explanation of the steps.Calculation and use of statistical methods and tools of projection mapping.
Conducting laboratory project work in groups and individually, with submission of the final work report and the oral form.
Use if specific software for self-learning.
Work of observation and collection of information in the field, with tutorial support.
Tutorial support in problem solving. Supporting the preparation of the report and oral presentation.

Learning Outcomes

With this course it is intended that students evaluate, quantitatively and qualitatively, the physical variables that determine the magnitude and severity of natural hazards, as well as a risk assessment from the consequences and likelihood.

(A) Searching for an introduction to research methodologies and analysis of susceptibility and vulnerability.

(B) It promotes the acquisition of statistical and probabilistic risk tools, and resources for the production of thematic cartography.

(C) It is proposed a risk analysis with a historical reconstitution about consequences or probabilistic models of likelihood.

(D) It promotes the sellection and adequancy of mitigation measures.

Work Placement(s)



1. Concepts of hazard, susceptibility, vulnerability and risk;

2. Criteria and types of hazard classification;

3. Risk management models;

4. Aplication of the sequential model from ISO and cycle model from IRGC;

5. Indirect techniques of risk assessment, remote sensing, photo interpretation, geomorphological and hemerographic interpretation;

6. Probabilistic risk Mathematics, random variables, common statistical distribution and extreme values.

7. Multivariate time series analysis;

8. Harmonized and OHA matrix;

9. OEM risk assessment matrix;

10. Forecasting, surveillance and monitoring of processes technics;

11. Structural and non-structural mitigation measures and risk management;

12. Acquisition and processing of geo-referenced in GIS environment;

13. Analysis and spatial operations, production of thematic cartography.

Head Lecturer(s)

Alexandre Manuel de Oliveira Soares Tavares

Pedro Gomes Cabral Santarém Andrade

Assessment Methods

Report of a seminar or field trip: 10.0%
Presentation of strategic risk framework: 15.0%
Individual presentation of technical tool: 15.0%
Synthesis work: 60.0%


ANPC (2009). Guia para a caracterização de risco no âmbito da elaboração de planos de emergência de protecção civil, Caderno Técnico Prociv nº9, Edição ANPC, Lisboa.

ANPC (2008). Manual de apoio a elaboração de planos de emergência de protecção civil, Caderno Técnico Prociv nº3, Edição ANPC, Lisboa.

AYALA-CARCEDO, F. & CANTOS, J. (2002). Riesgos naturales. Ed. Ariel Ciencia, Barcelona.

GLADE, T; ANDERSON, M & CROZIER, M.J. (2005) Landslides hazard and risk. Ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc, Ney York.

HANDMER, J. & DOVERS, S. (2008). Handbook of disaster & Emergency Policies & Institutions. Earthscan, 188.

JULIÃO, R.; NERY, F.; RIBEIRO, J. L.; BRANCO, M. C.; ZÊZERE, J. L. (2009) – Guia metodológico para a produção de cartografia municipal de risco e para a criação de Sistemas de Informação Geográfica (SIG) de base municipal, Edição ANPC, Lisboa.

SMITH, K; PETLEY, D. (2009). Environmental Hazards. Assessing and reducing disaster. 5th Edtion, Routledge, Wolverhampton, 383p.